themalaysianinsight.com | 18-Nov-2022 – INDEPENDENT pollster Merdeka Center has projected that Pakatan Harapan (PH) will emerge tops when the 15th general election concludes with 82 seats while Perikatan Nasional (PN) will come in second with 43 seats.
It predicted that the country’s oldest coalition Barisan Nasional (BN) will end the polls with 15 only seats.
However, it noted in its findings that there were 45 constituencies nationwide that were too close to call and could go to either one of the three coalitions.
“We note that the tight contest in this election has meant that the competition in many seats will be very close among the competing parties,” it said in a statement released tonight.
It projected that Gabungan Parti Sarawak will win 24 seats, Gabungan Rakyat Sabah (5), and Warisan (6).
“From the rolling survey that we undertook from November 3 to 18, we found that the three main coalitions with a strong base of support still needed to swing undecided and new voters to their side.
“In the ensuing campaign period, we noted that there was a discernible movement of Malay voters to PN and to a lesser extent, PH. This development was at the expense of BN,” it said in a statement..
Merdeka Center said that for the most part, non-Malay voters remained firmly in support of PH.
Earlier today another reputed pollster, Ilham Centre, had predicted that none of the three coalitions will win 112 seats in the country’s 15th general election and form a federal government.
Its executive director Hisommudin Bakar said its survey showed that PH will be the biggest bloc with 86 seats in the 222-seat chamber, if there was an 80% voter turnout tomorrow.
He said BN would cross the finish line with 51 seats while PN would bag 25 seats.
Hisommudin said its survey found that BN was still the top choice for Malay voters, particularly in rural Malay while PH continued to draw support from non-Malay voters. – November 18, 2022.